{"id":2714,"date":"2017-03-08T16:01:41","date_gmt":"2017-03-08T16:01:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lamanchette.be\/main\/?p=2714"},"modified":"2017-03-08T17:20:05","modified_gmt":"2017-03-08T17:20:05","slug":"credit-hypothecaire-il-faut-faire-vite-ca-augmente","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lamanchette.be\/main\/credit-hypothecaire-il-faut-faire-vite-ca-augmente\/","title":{"rendered":"Cr\u00e9dit Hypoth\u00e9caire : il faut faire vite, \u00e7a augmente !"},"content":{"rendered":"

Certains chiffres inqui\u00e9tants ont \u00e9marg\u00e9 au niveau d\u2019Eurostat qui est l\u2019organisme de statistiques europ\u00e9ennes et qui est le r\u00e9f\u00e9rent principal au niveau de la BCE (banque central europ\u00e9enne).<\/p>\n

Pour \u00e9viter d\u2019aller trop loin dans la technicit\u00e9 des termes \u00e9conomiques, je vais essayer d\u2019esquisser en quelques points principaux les raisons pour lesquelles il faudrait profiter de ces derniers instants de stabilit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique pour obtenir son cr\u00e9dit hypoth\u00e9caire.<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. La hausse du prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie\u00a0: \u00e9videmment, ce curseur \u00e9conomique a toujours \u00e9t\u00e9 le centre n\u00e9vralgique de la sant\u00e9 \u00e9conomique du monde. Par exemple, quand l\u2019indicateur \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique prend un coup dans l\u2019aile et augmente, alors il y a, irr\u00e9m\u00e9diablement un impact sur le pouvoir d\u2019achat des citoyens. Effectivement, quand on sait qu\u2019un m\u00e9nage consomme de l\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9, du gaz, du mazout \u00e0 chauffer et aussi du carburant, on peut facilement deviner l\u2019impact n\u00e9gatif sur le portefeuille.<\/li>\n
  2. La baisse du taux de ch\u00f4mage\u00a0: une tendance au niveau europ\u00e9en indique une baisse du taux de ch\u00f4mage. Cette nouvelle de bonne augure pour les nouveaux actifs induit forcement une augmentation directe de la bulle des actifs et donc de nouveaux salaires g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9s. Donc, la masse salariale nationale voire europ\u00e9enne se voit augmenter ce qui implique in fine une augmentation de l\u2019inflation.<\/li>\n
  3. La tendance politique de droite provoque aussi une incertitude sur les march\u00e9s d\u2019investissements. Les diff\u00e9rentes politiques tr\u00e8s \u00e0 droite europ\u00e9ennes provoquent des craintes par rapport aux investisseurs internationaux qui voient \u00e0 travers cette donne un manque de confiance des march\u00e9s. Autrement dit et ind\u00e9pendamment de cette donne, il faut savoir que par exemple en Turquie, l\u2019instabilit\u00e9 des march\u00e9s boursiers avaient \u00e9t\u00e9 provoqu\u00e9 par la tentative de Coup militaire le 15 juillet. Cela avait invers\u00e9 les courbes positives en d\u00e9stabilisant la confiance financi\u00e8re et une augmentation des devises.<\/li>\n
  4. Le risque de d\u00e9faut des clients\u00a0: il y a eu par ailleurs une quantit\u00e9 astronomique de cr\u00e9dits hypoth\u00e9caires rien que pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2016 cela repr\u00e9sente des milliards en refinancement. C\u2019est la raison pour laquelle, parall\u00e8lement aux directives europ\u00e9ennes impos\u00e9es par la r\u00e9glementation Bale 2 + 3, les banques sont oblig\u00e9es de se doter d\u2019une quantit\u00e9 bien d\u00e9finie de liquidit\u00e9. En effet, ce montant doit prot\u00e9ger la banque en cas de d\u00e9faillance du client (qu\u2019on appellera finalement comme risqu\u00e9). Ceci cause \u00e9videmment l\u2019int\u00e9gration de nouvelles r\u00e9glementations europ\u00e9ennes et nationales qui vont au bout du compte durcir les conditions d\u2019octroi d\u2019un cr\u00e9dit. Par exemple, il pourrait s\u2019agir ici qu\u2019une banque demande l\u2019intervention de plus de 25% du montant du bien immobilier condition sine qua non avant signature du contrat de cr\u00e9dit hypoth\u00e9caire.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Enfin, pour couronner tout \u00e7a, ces 4 donn\u00e9es ont pour cons\u00e9quence directe une augmentation des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat qui est par ailleurs contigue \u00e0 celle de l\u2019inflation.<\/p>\n

    Evidemment, il s\u2019agit bien ici des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eats de cr\u00e9dits hypoth\u00e9caires pas des taux d\u2019\u00e9pargnes qui eux stagnent tout autant qu\u2019\u00e0 l\u2019heure actuelle. Profitez encore des derniers instants des taux avantageux propos\u00e9s actuellement car tout ceci risque de tourner au vinaigre.<\/p>\n

    Erkan Ozdemir \/ La Manchette<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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